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| | #31 (permalink) | |
| Retired Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: A Greyhound Station where I set my thoughts to far off destinations...
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| | #32 (permalink) | |
| Family Member Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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The Original poll that was taken to derive this mythical 97% number was to be pooled from 10,257 earth scientists. When the pollsters could not get the outcome they desired they trimmed out all the dissenting voices from their original pool, when that didn't work they shortened and simplified the questions. It then went down to 1,372 scientists. What happened to the original 10,000? They did not pose questions directly to the scientists. Instead, they surveyed public statements the scientists had signed indicating whether they accept that the planet is warming and that humans are the primary cause. When that still did not work they decided to use a sub pool within the group which consisted of only 77 people 75 of which agreed with them. There is your magical 97% So out of 10,257 earth scientists 75 gave them the answer they wanted. By the way, these are only climatologists, that they pooled, so to say 97% of the SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY is completely deceiving. But, as I already mentioned. consensus in the scientific community does not mean anything. As we've seen time and time again in the past. Last edited by russianrocket; 02-10-2011 at 07:35 PM. | |
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| | #33 (permalink) | |
| Family Member Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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| | #34 (permalink) | |
| Retired Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: A Greyhound Station where I set my thoughts to far off destinations...
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| | #35 (permalink) |
| Family Member Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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| Which parts? That it's only 97% of climatologists that participated? That it's not 97% of the scientific community, and only climatologists? Which parts in specific do you want a source about lol so I don't spend too much time looking stuff up. And if you look it up, the numbers jump ALL over the place of how many scientists there are. Just google, and you'll see exactly how the poll went down. The authors hand picked the 1,372 scientists in their review, a small portion of the 10s of thousands of scientists who have weighed in on the subject, and made up their own criteria for determining agreement with the IPCC and for determining who's credible and who's not. Even with all that, 97% of scientists in the field agreed T-Rex was a super carnivore as recent as 10 years ago... and 97% of astrophysicists agreed in a static model universe as well in the fairly recent past... Both were wrong. They're the ones who study and publish on climate science. So I guess the take-home message is, the more you know about the field of climate science, the more you're likely to believe in global warming and humankind's contribution to it. Last edited by russianrocket; 02-10-2011 at 07:50 PM. |
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| | #36 (permalink) | |
| Retired Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: A Greyhound Station where I set my thoughts to far off destinations...
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I read the article you posted earlier rr, the author's criticism of the site's graphics, and play on words doesn't seem very relevant, but other than that: Quote:
This bears a striking resemblance to arguments I've heard against abiogenesis and evolution! We can't create experiments to test it the way we can with other subjects, therefore it isn't science. Science is defined by the process of the scientific method, which is a based on it's ability to make predictions. Since we can't recreate the entire earth in a lab, we do concept tests--and the greenhouse effect is a proven concept. Those concepts can then be applied to the real world through calculations, and the models tested by the accuracy of predictions. In that way, climate change has even more going for it than abiogenesis. | |
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