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| | #31 (permalink) | ||
| Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,196
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The previous great depression did not end until people got sickened killing each other in world war 2 (with allied victory). There are many reasons to believe the current depression will be worse and longer compared to the previous 1. And we certain do not need another (nuclear) world war 3 to help fixing the current depression. Refer below for more details. Great Depression - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Quote:
Last edited by escapee; 04-18-2009 at 11:15 AM. | ||
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| | #32 (permalink) | ||
| Moderator Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Berlin, Germany
Posts: 4,994
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Additionally the numbers also show that the economy gets worse a lot faster than it did in 1929: Adventure of Strategy: "A Tale of Two Depressions"
__________________ I am always open for feedback on my posts. If your feedback would go offtopic feel free to send me a Personal Message. My posts generally don't contain medical or legal advice, if you have a problem seek the opinion of an expert Talking about this in terms of “bad news” or “bad judgment by business leaders” seems archaic. It’s like describing World War One as “a serious diplomatic concern.” Bruce Sterling about the financial crisis. | ||
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| | #33 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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It seems incredible, doesn't it? But go to the Fed's Minneapolis page, and go look for yourself. The calculator is on the right. One 2008 dollar buys five cents of 1913 money. Heck, it only buys 80 year 2000 cents! The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis However, I'm open to discussions on how different ways of computing purchasing power can come up with different results. | |
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| | #36 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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One of my favorite bloggers, The Hedonistic Pleasureseeker, wrote a funny post about this called, "Fight Club": "Speaking of people being full of ****, please don’t fall for the tired old Marxist “kill the bourgoisie” line of thinking this time, the way so many betrayed huddled masses fell before. Look at the big picture: The politicians had guns to their heads, while the bank employees and the corporatist stooges only work there. They pull a paycheck like you and me. They are not to blame for this mess. Their roles have been heavily compartmentalized and most of them didn’t even see the big picture until it was too late. Rather, this plan to take down America was hatched above their pay grades by The Overclass, people so rich that you’ve never heard of them." "(Don’t fall for the media driven “revolution” against the financial elites. It will set up a false us v.s. them dichotomy between people who are fundamentally on the same side.)" "Think of it this way: If he draws a paycheck or a salary, he’s not of the Overclass. If he’s in the media, he’s not the guy you want to lynch. Unless the media is naming the (anonymous for a reason) owners of the central banks, i.e., the Federal Reserve and their major shareholders, or their European equivalents, it’s not naming the Real Enemy." | |
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| | #37 (permalink) | |||
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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This is the reason why I try to cut down on reading negative information, however "true" it may be. I don't always succeed though. And there may be an elite that's against me, but I try not to give "it" very much of my energy (especially negative feelings like anger or fear). | |||
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| | #38 (permalink) | ||
| Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,196
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My opinion is, the so-called overclass needs a bunch of loyal fraudsters/elite front men (AKA puppets) who share the same "elitist/criminal values" as them to perpetuate and propagate the pain and misery to the unsuspecting masses ( who had their life saving in fraudulent investment) . So they are not just some innocent ordinary people drawing a paycheck and million dollars bonus/commission from controlled loan fraud. These front men knew very well how the credit system works and took full advantage of it to earn big bucks. And how marxist or socialist it is to prosecute financial criminals ? Ah come on, Don't we prosecute people who commit fraud ? Below are more proofs that Madoff ponzi scheme = kid soccer game U.S. Banking Collapse Driven By "fraud", Tim Geithner Covering Up Bank Insolvency | Antemedius Quote:
Last edited by escapee; 04-18-2009 at 08:06 PM. | ||
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| | #39 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,196
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YouTube - The Tea Parties: What's Really Going On | |
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| | #40 (permalink) |
| Junior Member Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2
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The tax protests and "tea parties" are hogwash. Spend a few months researching economics and you will learn how bad things really are. The collective debt in the United States and in the UK are multigenerational. Sure income tax should be abolished, but its getting to the point where even income is a scarcity. The people have been robbed of their wealth, or tricked into eternal debt. People like Rick Santelli and Glenn Beck who support these things are not supporting anything fruitful. Someone should persuade anyone effected negativly by the economic crises to become rightfully pissed and revolt against the oligarchs. |
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| | #41 (permalink) |
| Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: the Netherlands
Posts: 2,245
| Exactly! I personally don't believe in an elite 'holding down the masses'. So even if there is one, I'm not interested as I don't feel limited by them. Indeed, I don't give energy to it. Incidentally, I watched part of the Zeitgeist movie today. Interesting, well put together, but I don't feel it impacts my life, even if everything in it is true.
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| | #43 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 426
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| | #45 (permalink) |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 426
| Well, if you are voting for an organized elite that is actually endeavoring to hold down the masses -- and actively implementing structures designed to do just that -- then you are most definitely giving energy to it, even if not looking upon it or recognizing it feels like not giving energy to it. I was just curious because if you said that you didn't give energy to it AND you also don't vote or participate in continuing the sham, then that's a rare alignment that few people can claim. |
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| | #46 (permalink) | |||
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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Karl Denninger calls it "The Bezzle," which is "the lie" that is always present in business, but is now overwhelming everything to the point of collapse. That is why demands to get the market "back to normal" sometimes seems suspiciously like demands to go back to lying and cheating "business as usual" practices. I wish that we could go beyond that to something better, whatever that is. This morning I was out cutting herbs, because I have insane amounts of them growing. I cut back a Jasmine plant a few months ago, and now it's quite a bush, when I thought it would die. When I observe nature like this, it's really hard to believe in scarcity. Scarcity appears man-made when I'm in my garden. | |||
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| | #47 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 550
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__________________ Random thoughts from Some Random Guy | |
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| | #48 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 207
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But that doesn't tell you anything about purchasing power, by itself. To see why the two aren't necessarily related, lets freeze-frame everything. Then, lets say prices go up 10% (inflation), but lets also say your wages go up by 10%. In that case, your purchasing power remains unchanged -- you can still buy the same amount of stuff. To get at purchasing power, you actually have to first adjust average wages in 1913 to average wages in 2009 -- then see how much stuff you can buy. And, you have to decide what all the stuff is "worth", what we call a market basket. OR, you can go the other way, and pretend only the goods available in 1913 are around in 2009, adjust backwards, and see how much stuff you can buy, adjusting wages the other way, to 1913 wages. Trust me, either way you go, we buy a lot more stuff on average wages today than we did in 1913. But, don't get me wrong -- you are right, its a question of scale. These past two years are the first time our purchasing power has decreased, outside of the great depression. Mainly, its energy (oil) and food (because of oil price increases), and downward pressure on wages. BUT, it hasn't slipped that much. Keep in mind, this is all on average, individual stories may vary, and unemployment is factored out (effective purchasing power zero). I agree with where everyone is coming from -- the financial sector needs major reforms, but they won't happen, because people aren't really educated about Economics and Finance. | |
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| | #49 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: the Netherlands
Posts: 2,245
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Doesn't take much energy | |
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| | #50 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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A good book about this is The Two Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Mothers and Fathers Are Going Broke, co-written by law professor Elizabeth Warren (who recently chaired the Congressional Oversight Panel created to oversee the implementation of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act last year). According to her research, the majority of family income is eaten up by the purchase of an "average" home in an area with a good school district (we know what a disaster that's been lately), health insurance, a second car to get Mom to work, child care, and taxes. She was interviewed by Mother Jones about her book: MJ.com: Even so, there still seems to be this perception that families are only going bankrupt because they're splurging on frivolities.I can tell you as someone who loves vintage clothing, there is a vast difference in the quality of clothes made in the 50s and 60s and the sweatshop crap you get from Wall Mart now. The "average" 100% cotton or wool dress from that time would probably cost hundreds of dollars to make now (especially if you got it made in the States, which almost everything was back then). I don't know if you're a parent or not, but even the quality of children's shoes has gone done just in the last five years. It's virtually impossible to find shoes, even dress shoes, that don't have a velcro strap. Let me tell you, active children wearing shoes held together with velcro straps destroy them quite quickly. | |
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| | #51 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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Although I agree with a lot of what he said, I think that the "left" is partially right about the Tea Parties being "right-wing hackery." Unfortunately, nowadays any sort of grassroots movement, whether on the right or the left, can be co-opted by organizations with their own agendas (those serving the Man Behind the Curtain), and this is no different: "Six weeks ago, two of us (Mark Ames and Yasha Levine) published an investigation[/URL] exposing the nascent “Tea Party” protest movement for what it really is: a carefully planned AstroTurf (or “fake grassroots”) lobby campaign hatched and orchestrated by the conservative advocacy organization FreedomWorks. Within days, pieces of the scam had crumbled, exposing a small group of right-wing think tanks and shady nonprofits at its core."See: "Exposing The Rightwing PR Machine: Is CNBC’s Rick Santelli Sucking Koch?" (LOL) and "How FreedomWorks Gave The Teabaggers A Dirty Sanchez." | |
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| | #52 (permalink) | ||
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 426
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| | #53 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 886
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Thanks for your explanation of CPI versus purchasing power. | |
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| | #54 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 550
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I think this illustrates my point. The research you quoted states that the majority of family income is eaten up by the purchase of an "average" home, health insurance, a second car, child care and taxes. Most families in the 50s and 60s only had a single car and did not have to pay for child care. So two of the expenses listed are directly related to having a two income family. It is very possible to avoid both of those expenses in a single income home. The average home of today is bigger and more expensive than in the 50s and 60s. As a society, we have created a demand for bigger, and therefore more expensive homes. The same is true with cars. These things are expensive because we allow them to be. If people suddenly decided they were not willing to pay more than $20k for a car, it would not take long for prices to adjust themselves to what the consumers demanded. I completely agree with you regarding the lack of quality of many of today's goods. I think this is a major problem. People would rather buy cheap, low quality goods than pay more for quality items. Again, this is something that consumers have created the demand for. If people were to start demanding high quality items, then eventually the quality of goods in the markektplace would improve. I think that too many people feel like victims and believe they are trapped in a situation where they must have two incomes to survive. I try to put out the word that that simply is not true. Think about how much money a family could save if they were to live a lifestyle more like the single income families of the 50s and 60s. Think about how much it costs to have a bigger house than is really required, a second (and sometimes third) car, cable/satellite, high-speed internet, and cell phone. Most people could live in a smaller, simpler home and save $500 or more per month. Only having one car could save most people $300 or more. Not having cable/satellite, high-speed internet and a cell phone could save another $200 or more. Just by looking at those things, it is easy to show that most families have more than $1000 in extra expenses. Add to this the extra cost of child-care, clothing, dining out, etc required by a spouse who works and its easy to see how those costs add up quickly. I am not saying there is anything wrong with wanting a bigger house, extra car, cable, internet and cell phone access. I am only trying to point out that if a family wants to be a single-income family it is entirely possible. Most families choose to be a two-income family so they can have these "extra" things. That means that those families can choose to simplify their lifestyle and material requirements and survive on a single-income if they really want to. My wife and I have no kids, but were still a two income family for a number of years. Two years ago, however we decided that the extra money that gave us was not worth the things that we were giving up for the dual incomes. We have been a single income family since then. We are working towards decreasing our financial requirements even further, so that eventually we need only a single part-time income to survive. When we had a dual-income household we actually had less money than we do now. We were both working long hours to support a lifestyle that did not particularly make us happy. We were slaves to our materialism. I wish that more people would realize that often they are simply making the choice for both partners to work so they can have more stuff, most of which isn't necessary and often does not really make them happy.
__________________ Random thoughts from Some Random Guy | |
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| | #55 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: the Netherlands
Posts: 2,245
| I am curious what you do now? If this goes off topic too much, feel free to PM me. Quote:
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| | #56 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 426
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I no longer see the two-party system as real; I see that they are funded & managed by the same king-makers, so whoever wins, "they" win. It's just a divide-and-conquer sham I do wish people would wise up to. In addition, the voting system has been corrupted, especially with the change to electronic voting. It's now so easy to manipulate. Without protected voting, what say do the people really have? So, for the moment, I don't vote because it's more active in my view to consciously not participate in a ruse than to not see it for what it is. Those that don't understand this perspective tend to see it as apathy, but I'm far from apathetic. Lack of courage to see what's what is, in my view, far more apathetic. If Ron Paul had been on the ballot however, I would've dropped my name into the hat...as meaningless as it would have been. I think we should go back to paper. Or pebbles. | |
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| | #57 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2008
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__________________ Random thoughts from Some Random Guy | |
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| | #58 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 426
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To my mind, it all starts with first recognizing that they don't have it to begin with. Can't ask for something you don't realize you don't have, heh. So... I guess we're headed for some massive disillusionment, otherwise the problem will never get corrected. | |
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| | #59 (permalink) | ||
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
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| | #60 (permalink) | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2009
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Our Next Brainstorm: Let’s Bail OUT OF Wall Street at The Catherine Austin Fitts Blog Vote with your feet and our money in your personal banking affairs. Take all the money you control out of big money-center, tapeworm banks and financial institutions and put it in local credit unions, thrift institutions, savings banks and state chartered banks. | |
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