The power brokers in the middle east today are analgous to the roman catholic church as it struggled to hold onto it's power in the wake of the renaissance and the age of enlightenment in 18th century europe.
Not wanting to relinquish power, the mideast clerics chose not to embrace the concept of separation of church and state and have managed to keep capitolism at bay.
They have demonized the west in an effort to maintain control and power. We have backed them into a corner with no way out except to fight us to the death.
Our dependence on their oil has forced the issue. Their may be internal issues of guilt for selling us their oil. They have been seduced by the west ($$$) and are deeply torn. It would be like experienceing remorse after having a one night stand.
Our leaders, I believe, are not overly cautious, in keeping WMD out of the area at this time.
Like with the USSR, patience will win out. I predict one day soon that Bagdad will be an international gambling and resort destination. Capitolism is just too seductive!