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Originally Posted by Acting Like Godot  Not that it really matters. 
It is not my metaphor. Google "black swan theory" and "Nassim Nicholas Taleb". He is a clever man - you would learn a few things about logical thinking from him.
And no, he is not a "Law of Attraction" writer. |
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Originally Posted by ALG 1. He assumes that LOA is false.
2. He is against the idea of testing that assumption.
3. Why? He assumes that people will do a "wrong" test. |
In the 1st point, if we change the assumption to 'LOA is true', would this not be your attitude? It appears that way because you will not have your concept challenged. Different logical possibilities have been suggested concerning LOA which are just dismissed.
ALG, you don't seem to realize that it is you who is proclaiming only white swans exist, metaphorically speaking of course.
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Originally Posted by wikipedia The black swan theory refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations. |
I don't think LOA falls into the given definition of 'the black swan theory' at all.