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Old 12-19-2006, 05:13 PM   #25 (permalink)
swampdog
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Join Date: Dec 2006
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Default Odds?

First, I've started on the Photo Reading course and one thing I'm quoting to my family from that is (roughly): People say that anything worth doing is worth doing well. I say, anything worth doing is worth doing badly at first.

If you're too afraid to be a clueless idiot in something for awhile, you'll never succeed. If you pretend you know what you don't and don't ask questions, you'll (probably) fail. If you try to jump in too far over your head, you'll (probably) fail. If you give up if you don't succeed right away, you'll definitely fail. Third time lucky entrepreneurs are people who aren't afraid of that initial failure and don't give up with the first failure.

Also, I watch (too much) reality tv shows sometimes. It REALLY gripes me when they say, "We're down to 6 contestants, your odds are now 1 in 6 of winning a million dollars". WRONG WRONG WRONG. Your odds are incalculable, depending on current position, luck, and skill. If their odds were 1-6 then there would be no betting lines on it.
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