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Well if 10 years is flawed isn't 1000 years too short as well?
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If you want to seperate noise from signals having more data helps a great deal.
To know how much data you need to have a certain confidence you need to do a lot of math.
If someone wants the case that 10 year is enough, that person should lay down why he thinks that he can make good predictions based on a complicated mathematical climate model. That usually something that you don't find outside of peer revied articles.