[Brutha]

we can have a bit more faith that after decades of psychic research, the really good evidence is just around the corner.

I never argued that claim. I just argue that

I wonder why, other than his argument that long odds are more unpredictable than short odds, and that history can show surprising turns, he is a skeptic, and many of the things he talks about in that lecture are reminders of what happens in belief systems like psi. He criticised religion.

He is a praticing Christian.

Or to put it another way, so what? Every time someone blows their head off with a shotgun and doesn't survive, by your thinking, it's not evidence that you can't survive blowing your head off with a shotgun.

That reminds me of the fact that there are no peer revied studies which show that, wearning a parachute when you jump out of planes will increae your likelyhood of living after you land on the ground.
After all there are some documented cases of people who have survied without a parachute.

In cases where you have incomplete information it's best to choice with a lesser amount of risk.
Don't hold the shotgun at your head or jump out of the plane without parachut but it doesn't matter much when you listen to a psychic and make decision that are within your normal range of action (that don't contain much additional risk).