View Single Post
Old 07-25-2008, 01:22 PM   #95 (permalink)
Brutha
Moderator
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Berlin, Germany
Posts: 4,984
Brutha is on a distinguished road
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Freestone View Post
Nope.
Yep. I meant what I said. Maybe google 'file drawer effect'.
Even if you make 1.000.000 tests of persons who claim to be psychic and none of them actually is psychic you still have no evidence for the theory that no psychics exist.
It's a big error to confuse the two things.

For millenia people in the western world only observed white Swans. They even used "Seeing a black Swan" similar to we use "When pigs fly" today.
Once Australia got discovered people finally saw Black Swans and the theory that there every Swan is white got refuted.
Lack of evidence for a theory "there are black Swans" is qualitivly different from evidence for the opposite "there are no black Swans". I took the Black Swan example from Nassim Taleb. If you want to learn more about the real world implications of it I highly recommand his talk.

Similarly lack of evidence for the theory "there are psychics" is qualitivly different from evidence for the opposite "there are no psychics".

If you come to your conclusion based on faulty reasoning that's pseudoscience.
__________________
I am always open for feedback on my posts. If your feedback would go offtopic feel free to send me a Personal Message.

My posts generally don't contain medical or legal advice, if you have a problem seek the opinion of an expert


Talking about this in terms of “bad news” or “bad judgment by business leaders” seems archaic. It’s like describing World War One as “a serious diplomatic concern.”
Bruce Sterling about the financial crisis.
Brutha is online now   Reply With Quote