Personal Development for Smart People Forums - View Single Post - Algorithm to automatically guess sport bets

raffish · 02-27-2008, 11:58 AM

Good mornig Jonathan,

thank you for your reply, you have come to the point.
In the long run, I will quite surely be able to have a good accuracy for my predictions (70%), but guessing the easiest 70% of the bets (in other words: the easiest ones) is not enough to earn money in the long run.
It would be better to gain only the 5% more difficult bets to pay back the 90% failed easy bets and earn money too.
Don't be scared of talking mathemathics with me (I am a computer engineer with a master thesis on machine learning algorithms).
Any idea to help me strenghten my algorithm ?

02-27-2008, 11:58 AM	#9 (permalink)
raffish Junior Member Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Appiano Gentile, Como, Italy Posts: 13	Thank you Jonathan! Good mornig Jonathan, thank you for your reply, you have come to the point. In the long run, I will quite surely be able to have a good accuracy for my predictions (70%), but guessing the easiest 70% of the bets (in other words: the easiest ones) is not enough to earn money in the long run. It would be better to gain only the 5% more difficult bets to pay back the 90% failed easy bets and earn money too. Don't be scared of talking mathemathics with me (I am a computer engineer with a master thesis on machine learning algorithms). Any idea to help me strenghten my algorithm ?