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Old 12-16-2011, 01:47 AM   #23 (permalink)
lycan
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Join Date: Jul 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SnerpGoodWord View Post
Here's a basic question: if you refuse to sell at a loss, and instead average down, what happens in the event the price of the security (or FX pair or derivitive) you're trading goes to zero?

Answer: you lose everything.

Averaging down produces only the illusion of profits - long strings of marginally profitable trades followed by one huge blowup. It's like a reverse lottery for the misinformed.
The price of currencies never goes to zero, certainly not within this context. However, if you seriously believe this is a risk for a particular currency, you do something very simple: instead of going long on it, you go short on it. No currency, certainly no major currency, will ever simply collapse to nothing without warning unless there is a crisis so big that your trading account will be the least of your worries. Another simple solution is to trade multiple pairs with at least 4 currencies total. You don't necessarily need to average down to such an extent that the collapse of one currency can kill you. In the context of stocks, the same applies.

I understand what you are saying but the fact is, the kind of blowup necessary to destroy the account of a serious trader would be so severe that the only security against it is learning survivalist skills. You are more likely to lose the money through non-trade related matters.

The only serious barrier to this is capital. If you don't have enough capital, lot sizes will force you to risk too much in any given trade.

Last edited by lycan; 12-16-2011 at 01:49 AM.
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