In battlefield medicine the principle of triage involves dividing patients into three groups:  1) those who will die anyway whether they receive medical attention or not, 2) those who will survive anyway whether they receive medical attention or not, and 3) those who will survive only if they receive timely medical attention. Despite its morbid nature, [...]

People often ask me to help them assess what their odds of success will be in some new endeavor:  What are my odds of succeeding as a full-time blogger?  What are my odds of succeeding as an indie game developer?  What are my odds of succeeding as an entrepreneur? On the surface it seems intelligent to assess your risks before [...]